NEWS RELEASE



TREB Releases Monthly Market Figures Reported By GTA REALTORS®

TORONTO, July 5, 2018 -- Toronto Real Estate Board President Garry Bhaura, in his first market release as TREB President, is pleased to announce some positive signs with respect to the housing market.

Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported 8,082 home sales through TREB's MLS® System in June 2018 – up 2.4 per cent compared to the low June 2017 result.  After preliminary seasonal adjustment, sales were also up 17.6 per cent on a monthly basis between May 2018 and June 2018, continuing the trend of somewhat volatile month-over-month changes over the past year as home buyers reacted to various policy changes impacting the market.

"Home ownership has proven to be a positive long-term investment.  After some adjustment to the Fair Housing Plan, the new Office of The Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) stress test requirement and generally higher borrowing costs, home buyers are starting to move back into the market, with sales trending up from last year's lows.  Market conditions appear to be tightening, with sales accounting for a greater share of listings, as new listings have dropped compared to last year," said Mr. Bhaura.

The average selling price edged up by two per cent on a year-over-year basis to $807,871 in June 2018.  After preliminary seasonal adjustment, the average selling price was also up by 3.3 per cent month-over-month between May 2018 and June 2018.  The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) was down by 4.8 per cent on a year-over-year basis, but remained basically flat month-over-month.  The difference in the year-over-year rates of change between the average price and the MLS® HPI was likely due, at least in part, to a change in the mix of properties sold in June 2018 compared to June 2017, with low-rise home types accounting for a greater share of sales in June 2018.

"The expectation is to see improvement in sales over the next year.  Over the same period, however, it is likely that issues surrounding the supply of listings will persist.  This suggests that competition between buyers could increase, exerting increased upward pressure on home prices.  With a new provincial government in place and municipal elections on the horizon, housing supply should be top-of-mind for policy makers," said Jason Mercer, TREB's Director of Market Analysis and Service Channels.

Housing Issues Important to Voters

With a new provincial government at Queen's Park and municipal election campaigns underway, Toronto REALTORS® are continuing to speak out for home buyers, sellers, and renters.

"We look forward to working with all returning and newly elected MPPs, and speaking out during the municipal election campaign, to ensure that home ownership and housing affordability issues are a top priority for elected officials. In this regard, one of the most important issues is ensuring that no new municipal land transfer taxes are imposed on home buyers. We hope the new provincial government and municipal election candidates will represent the views of the people on this issue, which are clear: they oppose land transfer taxes because they are a barrier to home ownership and discourage individuals and families from 'right-sizing', further constraining the supply of homes available for purchase", said Mr. Bhaura.

A poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs, by on-line survey of 1200 GTA residents (500 in the '416' area code and 700 in the '905' area code) between May 18 and May 22, 2018, found:

"We look forward to working with the provincial and Greater Toronto Area municipal governments on effective ways to address housing affordability, namely increasing housing supply, especially 'missing middle' housing options (home types that bridge the gap between detached houses and condominium apartments), and reducing tax burdens like land transfer taxes," added Mr. Bhaura.

 

 

 

Summary of TREB MLS®  Sales and Average Price June 1 - 30, 2018

2018

2017

Sales

Average Price

New Listings

Sales

Average Price

New Listings

City of Toronto ("416")

3,096

870,559

5,243

3,117

827,802

6,282

Rest of GTA ("905")

4,986

768,945

10,679

4,776

768,516

13,279

GTA

8,082

807,871

15,922

7,893

791,929

19,561

 

TREB MLS® Sales & Average Price  By Home Type June 1 - 30, 2018

Sales

Average Price

416

905

Total

416

905

Total

Detached

885

2,704

3,589

1,354,429

928,560

1,033,574

Yr./Yr. % Change

5.9%

5.3%

5.5%

-2.4%

-1.8%

-1.9%

Semi-Detached

297

519

816

999,754

665,606

787,227

Yr./Yr. % Change

8.4%

7.9%

8.1%

1.4%

1.8%

1.7%

Townhouse

308

1,024

1,332

736,963

608,969

638,566

Yr./Yr. % Change

5.1%

5.5%

5.4%

5.6%

2.4%

3.2%

Condo Apartment

1,593

641

2,234

605,530

450,672

561,097

Yr./Yr. % Change

-6.0%

-3.6%

-5.3%

9.5%

3.4%

7.9%

 

 

                                                                                                                                    Continued…

 

June 2018 Year-Over-Year Per Cent Change in the MLS® HPI

 

Composite (All Types)

Single-Family Detached

Single-Family Attached

Townhouse

Apartment

TREB Total

-4.76%

-9.30%

-7.20%

-3.65%

7.52%

Halton Region

-4.39%

-6.96%

-3.25%

-3.03%

6.92%

Peel Region

-3.10%

-4.84%

-3.94%

-4.13%

4.73%

City of Toronto

1.29%

-7.14%

-3.52%

0.46%

9.10%

York Region

-14.70%

-16.67%

-16.36%

-10.72%

1.33%

Durham Region

-8.49%

-8.69%

-8.95%

-9.96%

-0.62%

Orangeville

-0.58%

-0.74%

-1.15%

-

-

South Simcoe County1

-8.36%

-7.99%

-7.16%

-

-

1South Simcoe includes Adjala-Tosorontio, Bradford West Gwillimbury, Essa, Innisfil and New Tecumseth

 

Annual Summary of TREB MLS® Sales and Average Price Year-to-Date

2018

2017

Sales

Average Price

New Listings

Sales

Average Price

New Listings

City of Toronto ("416")

15,403

839,349

27,284

20,129

875,011

33,875

Rest of GTA ("905")

24,519

758,824

57,360

34,358

864,851

67,114

GTA

39,922

789,893

84,644

54,487

868,604

100,989

 

Annual TREB MLS® Sales & Average Price  By Home Type Year-to-Date 2018

Sales

Average Price

416

905

Total

416

905

Total

Detached

4,058

13,144

17,202

1,342,408

920,640

1,020,136

Yr./Yr. % Change

-34.6%

-39.2%

-38.2%

-10.2%

-12.2%

-11.2%

Semi-Detached

1,277

2,384

3,661

1,017,368

656,368

782,289

Yr./Yr. % Change

-26.9%

-32.8%

-30.9%

-1.9%

-5.6%

-3.2%

Townhouse

1,461

5,065

6,526

751,635

604,630

637,540

Yr./Yr. % Change

-28.4%

-27.4%

-27.6%

3.1%

-5.6%

-3.4%

Condo Apartment

8,513

3,399

11,912

590,375

447,050

549,478

Yr./Yr. % Change

-30.5%

-32.0%

-31.0%

8.4%

4.1%

7.5%

Seasonally Adjusted TREB MLS® Sales and Average Price1

Month-over-Month

Month-over-Month

Sales

% Chg.

Average Price

% Chg.

June '17

6,297

-19.7%

$775,302

-5.4%

July '17

5,998

-4.7%

$775,373

0.0%

August '17

6,375

6.3%

$773,362

-0.3%

September '17

6,526

2.4%

$782,414

1.2%

October '17

6,709

2.8%

$786,238

0.5%

November '17

7,681

14.5%

$777,036

-1.2%

December '17

8,555

11.4%

$783,611

0.8%

January '18

6,534

-23.6%

$769,509

-1.8%

February '18

6,005

-8.1%

$746,897

-2.9%

March '18

5,965

-0.7%

$752,402

0.7%

April '18

5,904

-1.0%

$752,203

0.0%

May '18

5,727

-3.0%

$759,158

0.9%

June '18

6,733

17.6%

$784,340

3.3%

Source: Toronto Real Estate Board; CREA Seasonal Adjustment

1 Preliminary seasonal adjustment undertaken by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA).  Removing normal seasonal variations allows for more meaningful analysis of monthly changes and underlying trends.